Checkout Abandonment Rate: The Causes We Found Across 271 Sites
We scanned 271 live sites and set the results against Baymard's checkout research. The average cart abandonment rate is about 70%, and most of it traces to a handful of fixable problems you can spot before a customer ever arrives.
The checkout abandonment rate is the share of shoppers who begin checkout but leave before paying. Across documented research the average sits at about 70%, so roughly seven in ten carts never convert. Most of those exits are not random. They trace to fixable friction: surprise costs, forced account creation, and forms that ask for trust a page never earns.
We wanted to know how much of that friction is visible before a single real customer arrives. So we ran a flock of AI users across 271 live sites and recorded where they stalled. Here is what the data shows, and what to do about it.
The benchmark: about 70% of checkouts get abandoned
Baymard Institute, which aggregates 50 separate studies on the topic, puts the average documented online cart abandonment rate at 70.22%. The math is simple. Divide completed purchases by checkouts started, then subtract that fraction from one. If 1,000 people start checkout and 300 finish, your abandonment rate is 70%.
That average hides a device gap. Baymard's data shows mobile abandonment near 80% against roughly 66% on desktop, which matters because mobile is now where most sessions begin. The same research found that the average large ecommerce site can lift conversions by 35.26% through better checkout design alone. The ceiling is high because the problems are common.
What we found across 271 sites
Our own scans tell the supply-side version of that story. The average site in the study scored 68 out of 100 on overall experience, and AI users hit a drop-off signal on 29% of the flows they tried. The most frequent conversion problems were not exotic. They were the basics.
| Issue surfaced | Sites affected | Share of sites |
|---|---|---|
| Asks for input but shows no trust signals | 83 | 31% |
| No clear call-to-action | 77 | 28% |
| Users can't contact or book a demo | 38 | 14% |
| Users can't find the pricing | 35 | 13% |
| Six competing calls-to-action | 34 | 13% |
| Users can't sign up or get started | 34 | 13% |
The single most common conversion issue, on 31% of sites, was asking people for information without showing any reason to trust the page with it. No security cue, no reassurance, no signal that a real company stands behind the form. That lines up almost exactly with what shoppers say drives them away.
Why shoppers actually leave
When Baymard asked people why they abandoned a checkout, setting aside those who were only browsing, the reasons were concrete and rankable.
| Reason for abandoning | Share who cited it |
|---|---|
| Extra costs too high (shipping, tax, fees) | 39% |
| Didn't trust the site with card details | 19% |
| Site required account creation | 19% |
| Checkout too long or complicated | 18% |
| Couldn't see the order total upfront | 14% |
Put the two datasets side by side and they rhyme. Baymard's 19% who do not trust a site with their card map directly onto the 31% of sites in our scan that ask for sensitive input with no trust signals. The shoppers feel the gap; the scans show where it lives. The same goes for friction. Pages stacking six competing calls-to-action are the supply-side cause of the 18% who quit because checkout felt too long or confusing.
How to lower your checkout abandonment rate
The fixes are unglamorous and they work.
- Show every cost early. Surprise shipping and fees are the number one reason carts die, at 39%. Put shipping and tax in the cart, not on the final screen.
- Offer guest checkout. Nielsen Norman Group, whose checkout guidance draws on testing across more than 350 ecommerce sites, recommends letting people buy as a guest and postponing any password to the confirmation page. Forced account creation alone accounts for 19% of abandonment.
- Earn trust at the point of the ask. Where you collect a card or personal details, show the security cue, the return policy, and a real company name. That is the 31% problem from our scan.
- Pick one primary action per step. Six competing buttons is not a choice, it is a stall. One clear next step beats a wall of equal options.
- Show the running total before the final click. 14% leave because they cannot see what they will actually pay.
You cannot fix what you cannot see, and most teams cannot watch real shoppers fail in real time. That is the gap CanaryUsers closes. It sends a flock of behaviorally diverse AI users through your live checkout and reports exactly where they hesitate or quit, with a specific fix for each. No traffic, no recruiting, no waiting weeks for session data. run a free scan and you will see your own version of the table above.
Methodology
The first-party figures come from 271 CanaryUsers scans of live sites. Each scan sends a flock of behaviorally diverse AI users through the real interface, and a site counts as affected by an issue when at least one persona surfaces it. Across the set, the average overall score was 68 out of 100 and the average drop-off signal rate was 29%. External benchmarks come from Baymard Institute and Nielsen Norman Group, both cited below.
Frequently asked questions
What is a good checkout abandonment rate?
Anything below the roughly 70% documented average is better than typical, and strong sites push into the 50s and 60s. Baymard's meta-analysis of 50 studies puts the average at 70.22%, so treat that as the line to beat rather than a target to match.
How is checkout abandonment rate calculated?
Divide completed purchases by checkouts started, then subtract that fraction from one. If 1,000 shoppers begin checkout and 350 finish, the rate is 65%. Track it per device, since mobile typically abandons more than desktop.
Why is mobile checkout abandonment higher than desktop?
Smaller screens, fiddly form fields, and harder typing all add friction, and Baymard's data shows mobile abandonment near 80% versus about 66% on desktop. Guest checkout, autofill, and digital wallets close most of that gap.
Does guest checkout actually reduce abandonment?
Yes. Required account creation is cited by 19% of abandoners, and Nielsen Norman Group recommends offering guest checkout and deferring password creation to after the order. Removing the forced account is one of the highest-return checkout changes you can make.
How much revenue can fixing checkout recover?
Baymard estimates the average large ecommerce site can raise conversions by 35.26% through better checkout design. The exact figure varies by site, but because the common issues are basic, the upside is usually larger than teams expect.
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Sources
Written by
Bretton Badenoch
AI researcher, University of Michigan · Founder, CanaryUsers
Bretton Badenoch is an AI researcher at the University of Michigan and the founder of CanaryUsers. His research is in machine learning and aging; he has also built and run several startups as "chief-everything-officer," shipping products and obsessing over why users drop off, the problem CanaryUsers now automates.